WICHITA, Kan. (KSNW) – The latest KSN News Poll conducted exclusively for KSN-TV by SurveyUSA was released Tuesday and asked likely voters in Kansas, if the election was to happen today, who would you vote for?
KSN surveyed 566 likely voters across the state. The question is just one piece of a much larger news poll that encompasses the upcoming election.
The poll showed that Donald Trump would get 44 percent of the vote followed by Hillary Clinton with 39 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson had eight percent. Nine percent of those polled were undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 percent.
It means Trump has lost support since our July poll when he was at 47 percent. Trump is down three percent while Clinton is up three.
Experts say it may be because of a week of campaign missteps by Trump.
“In modern history this has been one of the worst weeks for a Presidential candidate,” said KSN Political Expert Jeff Jarman.
Jarman says some major controversies, like Trump attacking the parents of a Muslim-American Army captain killed in Iraq, who challenged the candidate at the Democratic National Convention.
Then, the controversy of Trump allegedly throwing a baby out of is campaign rally, and the number of prominent Republicans announcing they won’t vote for the Republican nominee.
Jarman says it adds up, with voters paying attention to news headlines.
“Over the course of the last month we have seen some change and people are still supporting Donald Trump. but by a much smaller number than we’ve seen in the past,” Jarman added.
Another big change is a comparison to the last presidential election. In 2012, Mitt Romney enjoyed a 22 point lead at this time four years ago.
“It’s been cut in half, down to a single digit lead for Trump in Kansas, very surprising considering how strong Mitt Romney was in this state four years ago,” said Jarman.
Jarman says it will take several weeks of good campaigning to get Trump’s numbers to move in Kansas, but he points out Trump did not win the Republican caucus in the state. He indicates that Kansas could be a competitive race for president.
“It’s one bad week and following it up with several good weeks can turn the tide, but it’s crucial for him to go back to a message that can resonate with voters.”
Jarman also says Trump has an opportunity to gain more numbers, but he says he will have to find a way to appeal to more moderate Republicans.AUG 9 POLL RESULTS: Presidential Race | Conventions | U.S. Senate | FavorabilityJUL 14 POLL: Presidential Race | Conventions | U.S. Senate | Favorability