Teachman’s Take: Flooding potential rises as rounds of rain target Kansas

Weather Blog

For days, long-range weather models have been consistent with repeated, heavy amounts of rain falling over Kansas through next week.  In particular, central and eastern Kansas.  My thoughts haven’t changed one bit.  In all, 4″ to 8″ is an average total.  There will be locally higher amounts through next week.  This will cause flooding, so I strongly encourage anybody who lives in a flood-prone area to monitor changing conditions and radar closely through next week.    

Here’s a look at the latest estimates:

Your eyes instantly draw to the heart of Kansas where the heaviest is expected.  Now, the door to this soggy stretch opens TONIGHT!  

The fierce winds today are a sign that something is brewing.  A strong cold front will move to the south across the state and bring widespread showers and thunderstorms.  Initiation is after 7 PM and will continue through the overnight and into part of Thursday.  

Rainfall amounts with this first batch are in the neighborhood of 1″ to 2″ with locally higher amounts.

Thursday morning, things will calm down.  And you’ll notice a huge difference in temperatures.

Today the majority of us experienced 90-degree heat.  Our overnight lows and tomorrow’s highs won’t change that much.

There will be random showers and thunderstorms sprinkled about during the day.  

Another wave of storms moves in Thursday night. 

Yet again Friday evening (and some of these storms I wouldn’t be surprised if they briefly reach minimum warning criteria before they cluster into heavy rain and thunder).

Over the weekend, unsettled conditions remain with showers and thunderstorms.  More is to come next Monday and Tuesday.  Hopefully, we will break this pattern by Wednesday.  But, it will be brief as the front that helps to enhance all of this rain moves back into play, providing us with more rain next Thursday and Friday.

-Chief Meteorologist Lisa Teachman  

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